Pollster update
Últimas Noticias reports on a recent Datanálisis poll which shows support for Chávez actually increasing despite the existence of a nominally unitary opposition candidate. In June, an open poll between Chávez and several opposition candidates gave the following results: Chávez 55%, Borges 9%, Rosales 8%, Petkoff 3%. Now generally, one would expect at least some significant increase for a unitary candidate, regardless of whether they actually have a chance of winning (as opposition voters realign their preference, as undecideds decide). This hasn´t really happened, as the most recent poll gives the following results: Chávez 58.2%, Rosales 17.4%. Rosales has actually managed to poll less than the combined opposition candidates from the previous poll. Quite a feat! The response of the opposition has been to cite estimates of 40% undecided, but the problem for them is that they would need to win all of these to even have a chance…
just reading in the MX press this morning that Chavez is ´reviewing´ whether or not to recognize the Calderon gov´t here in Mexico (Calderon being the president elect of the PAN, the rightist-neoliberal candidate who currently has to be helicoptered from place to place in the capital because it is not safe for him to travel publicly)…
…Apparently Hugo took all the smear campaigns Calderon launched against AMLO a bit personally…
(during the campaign season, the right regularly accused the coalition of lefty parties of being ´Venezuelan agents´and claimed that Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador, the presidental candidate, was a Chavez in the making…horror of horrors!!!)
Comment by donaldinho — September 13, 2006 @ 1:37 pm